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India-US Trade Deal: A Game-Changer for Global Investment, Says Top Economist

2025-07-26
India-US Trade Deal: A Game-Changer for Global Investment, Says Top Economist
ABP News

New York, NY – A potential trade deal between India and the United States is being hailed as a “highly anticipated” and potentially transformative agreement by Arvind Panagariya, former Vice-Chairman of NITI Aayog and a leading Indian economist. Speaking at a recent event in New York, Panagariya emphasized the deal’s significant implications for India’s global investment landscape, suggesting it could represent a major breakthrough.

The ongoing negotiations between the two nations have been a subject of intense scrutiny and speculation for some time. While complexities and sticking points remain, the potential benefits of a comprehensive trade agreement are widely recognised. Panagariya's endorsement adds considerable weight to the optimism surrounding the talks, particularly given his expertise and influence within Indian economic circles.

Why is this deal so important?

For India, a successful agreement with the US, one of the world's largest economies, could unlock substantial investment opportunities. US companies are increasingly looking to diversify their supply chains and reduce reliance on single sources, and India presents an attractive alternative with its large and growing market, skilled workforce, and improving infrastructure. A trade deal would likely reduce tariffs and other trade barriers, making it easier and more cost-effective for US businesses to invest and operate in India.

Conversely, the US stands to gain access to a vast and dynamic Indian market, potentially boosting exports and creating new jobs. The deal could also foster greater collaboration in key sectors such as technology, renewable energy, and healthcare.

Beyond Investment: Broader Economic Impacts

Panagariya highlighted that the agreement's impact extends beyond mere investment figures. He believes it could signal a broader shift in the global economic order, reinforcing the importance of free and fair trade. A successful India-US trade deal could serve as a template for similar agreements with other countries, further promoting global economic integration.

Challenges and Road Ahead

Despite the optimism, significant challenges remain. Negotiations have been protracted, with disagreements over issues like agricultural tariffs, data localisation, and intellectual property protection. Finding common ground on these sensitive topics will require careful diplomacy and a willingness to compromise from both sides.

However, with the renewed focus on strengthening bilateral ties, and the clear recognition of the mutual benefits a trade deal can bring, experts remain hopeful that a breakthrough is within reach. Arvind Panagariya’s comments serve as a powerful reminder of the stakes involved and the potential rewards that await if the negotiations are successful. The deal’s impact will be felt not only in India and the US, but across the global economy.

Looking Ahead: What to Expect?

The coming months will be crucial as negotiators work to bridge the remaining gaps. Expect continued public commentary and analysis as the deal moves closer to finalisation. The ultimate outcome will undoubtedly shape the future of trade relations between India and the US, and have a lasting impact on the global economic landscape.

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